30 Sept · 16:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PD
🇵🇱Petr David
ELO 1889
FormLWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59David
MM
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1773
FormWLLWL
63%
37%
Fair odds · David
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)