30 Sept · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1444
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Klocek
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1357
FormLLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)