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30 Sep · 03:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LJLukasz Jarocki
🇵🇱Lukasz Jarocki
ELO 1696
1-3Final setsOlbrycht won
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1629
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jarocki at 59%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Jarocki favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Set handicap
Lukasz Jarocki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Jarocki −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Jarocki is favoured to win, below means Michal Olbrycht.

▲ Lukasz Jarockipre 63% → final 0%
Michal Olbrycht ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsOlbrycht recovered from 30%66 points · 4 games