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30 Sep · 03:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PAPawel Adamus
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1565
3-1Final setsAdamus won
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1703
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 67%. The actual result was Pawel Adamus 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 73.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Adamus is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.

▲ Pawel Adamuspre 35% → final 98%
Michal Guzik ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsAdamus recovered from 13%72 points · 4 games