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DeuceLab
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30 Sep · 09:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1650
2-3Final setsPoliniewicz won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1676
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 52%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Mateusz Rutkowski — profile →Grzegorz Poliniewicz — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 78.5
102 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 44% → final 10%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 48 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 42%47 points · 3 games