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30 Sep · 03:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ASAdrian Spychala
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1644
3-1Final setsSpychala won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1590
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Spychala at 55%. The actual result was Adrian Spychala 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Spychala favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
64 points played
Under
Set handicap
Adrian Spychala −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Adrian Spychala −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adrian Spychala is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Adrian Spychalapre 59% → final 100%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 41 pts63 points · 4 games