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30 Sep · 03:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1676
1-3Final setsKuzmicz won
JKJakub Kuzmicz
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1796
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kuzmicz at 62%. The actual result was Jakub Kuzmicz 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kuzmicz favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Set handicap
Jakub Kuzmicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Kuzmicz −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kuzmicz.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 34% → final 0%
Jakub Kuzmicz ▼
Biggest swing 38 pts68 points · 4 games