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Ratings & Predictions
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30 Sep · 09:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1581
1-3Final setsKolek won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1622
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 55%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 74.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maciej Kolek −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 48% → final 12%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsKolek recovered from 22%68 points · 4 games