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30 Sep · 04:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WUWojciech Urban
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1480
3-2Final setsUrban won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1575
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 61%. The actual result was Wojciech Urban 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 73.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marian Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marian Lebek −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wojciech Urban is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Wojciech Urbanpre 42% → final 99%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsUrban recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games