30 Sept · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1578
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Solilo
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1556
FormWWLLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sulkowski🌟Solilo rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (31)
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H9-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.