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30 Sep · 03:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1240
0-3Final setsKaczmarek won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1427
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kaczmarek at 67%. The actual result was Jakub Kaczmarek 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kaczmarek favoured — closing 1.22
Favourite won
Set handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Kaczmarek −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Cesarz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Milosz Cesarzpre 28% → final 0%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts52 points · 3 games