Marian Lebek vs Marek Tkocz — TT Elite Series

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30 Sep · 02:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Marian Lebek

ELO 1575

3-0Final setsLebek won

🇵🇱Marek Tkocz

ELO 1569

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 51%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 3-0 — the underdog won.

Marian Lebek — profile →Marek Tkocz — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 76.5

59 points played

Under

Set handicap

Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Marek Tkocz −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

6.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 53% → final 89%

Marek Tkocz ▼

Biggest swing 58 ptsLebek recovered from 41%57 points · 3 games