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DeuceLab
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30 Sep · 02:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MBMarian Brunner
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1417
2-3Final setsMucha won
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1524
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 60%. The actual result was Grzegorz Mucha 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Mucha favoured — closing 1.4
Favourite won
Total 72.5
92 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Brunner is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Mucha.

▲ Marian Brunnerpre 36% → final 9%
Grzegorz Mucha ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsMucha recovered from 31%72 points · 5 games