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30 Sep · 12:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KAKacper Adamus
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1544
3-0Final setsAdamus won
KKKamil Kowalski
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1194
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 82%. The actual result was Kacper Adamus 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kacper Adamus favoured — closing 1.2
Favourite won
Total 71.5
63 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kacper Adamus −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kacper Adamus −8.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
2.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Adamus is favoured to win, below means Kamil Kowalski.

▲ Kacper Adamuspre 82% → final 100%
Kamil Kowalski ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts72 points · 5 games