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30 Sep · 04:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1325
3-0Final setsZwolinski won
BWBlazej Warpas
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1320
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 52%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Blazej Warpas favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Set handicap
Blazej Warpas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Blazej Warpas −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Blazej Warpas.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 49% → final 100%
Blazej Warpas ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts52 points · 3 games