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30 Sep · 04:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKacper Kwiatkowski
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1475
0-3Final setsSkorupa won
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1474
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kwiatkowski at 52%. The actual result was Jakub Skorupa 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Skorupa favoured — closing 1.85
Favourite won
Total 74.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Skorupa −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Skorupa −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kacper Kwiatkowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Skorupa.

▲ Kacper Kwiatkowskipre 56% → final 5%
Jakub Skorupa ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsSkorupa recovered from 37%59 points · 3 games