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30 Sep · 03:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Mucha
🇵🇱Grzegorz Mucha
ELO 1524
3-1Final setsMucha won
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1474
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mucha at 54%. The actual result was Grzegorz Mucha 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Mucha favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Mucha −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Mucha is favoured to win, below means Jakub Skorupa.

▲ Grzegorz Muchapre 58% → final 90%
Jakub Skorupa ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsMucha recovered from 21%72 points · 4 games