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DeuceLab
Ratings & Predictions
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30 Sep · 04:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1676
3-2Final setsPoliniewicz won
ASAdrian Spychala
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1644
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 54%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Spychala favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 78.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adrian Spychala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Spychala −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Adrian Spychala.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 51% → final 78%
Adrian Spychala ▼
Biggest swing 49 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 33%72 points · 5 games