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30 Sep · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1629
3-0Final setsOlbrycht won
JKJakub Kuzmicz
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1796
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kuzmicz at 67%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kuzmicz favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 73.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Kuzmicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Kuzmicz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
14.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kuzmicz.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 35% → final 92%
Jakub Kuzmicz ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsOlbrycht recovered from 35%59 points · 3 games