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30 Sep · 04:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
LJLukasz Jarocki
🇵🇱Lukasz Jarocki
ELO 1696
0-3Final setsWisniewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1590
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jarocki at 62%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Jarocki favoured — closing 1.52
Upset
Total 73.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lukasz Jarocki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Jarocki −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Jarocki is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Lukasz Jarockipre 60% → final 7%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsWisniewski recovered from 40%66 points · 3 games