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30 Sep · 05:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WUWojciech Urban
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1480
2-3Final setsGuzik won
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1703
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 73%. The actual result was Michal Guzik 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 73.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wojciech Urban is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.

▲ Wojciech Urbanpre 28% → final 18%
Michal Guzik ▼
Biggest swing 93 ptsGuzik recovered from 3%72 points · 5 games