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30 Sep · 05:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PAPawel Adamus
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1565
3-0Final setsAdamus won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1427
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 65%. The actual result was Pawel Adamus 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Adamus favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 75.5
54 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Adamus −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Pawel Adamus −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Adamus is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Pawel Adamuspre 63% → final 97%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts53 points · 3 games