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30 Sep · 06:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1629
2-3Final setsWisniewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1590
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Olbrycht at 56%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Karol Wisniewski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Karol Wisniewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Karol Wisniewski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 60% → final 3%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsWisniewski recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games