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30 Sep · 06:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1377
3-2Final setsLukaszewski won
MKMilosz Kukawka
🇵🇱Milosz Kukawka
ELO 1586
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kukawka at 73%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Milosz Kukawka favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Total 72.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Milosz Kukawka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Milosz Kukawka −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Milosz Kukawka.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 22% → final 93%
Milosz Kukawka ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games