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30 Sep · 06:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1370
3-2Final setsMadej won
MRMaksymilian Rus
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1273
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Madej at 58%. The actual result was Boguslaw Madej 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Boguslaw Madej favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 80.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Boguslaw Madej −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Boguslaw Madej −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Rus.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 62% → final 96%
Maksymilian Rus ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsMadej recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games