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30 Sep · 06:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1575
3-2Final setsLebek won
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1703
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 67%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 73.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Michal Guzik.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 35% → final 100%
Michal Guzik ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsLebek recovered from 23%72 points · 5 games