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30 Sep · 06:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1676
3-1Final setsPoliniewicz won
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1629
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 54%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Olbrycht favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 80.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Olbrycht −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Olbrycht −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Michal Olbrycht.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 58% → final 96%
Michal Olbrycht ▼
Biggest swing 47 pts72 points · 4 games