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30 Sep · 06:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1325
1-3Final setsLukaszewski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1377
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 54%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mikolaj Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Set handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 49% → final 10%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 24%72 points · 4 games