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30 Sep · 07:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1590
1-3Final setsKuzmicz won
JKJakub Kuzmicz
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1796
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kuzmicz at 69%. The actual result was Jakub Kuzmicz 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kuzmicz favoured — closing 1.32
Favourite won
Total 73.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Kuzmicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Kuzmicz −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kuzmicz.

▲ Karol Wisniewskipre 26% → final 5%
Jakub Kuzmicz ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsKuzmicz recovered from 43%67 points · 4 games