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30 Sep · 07:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBlazej Warpas
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1320
3-1Final setsWarpas won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1377
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 57%. The actual result was Blazej Warpas 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Blazej Warpas favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 75.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Blazej Warpas −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Blazej Warpas −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Blazej Warpas is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Blazej Warpaspre 39% → final 97%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsWarpas recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games