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30 Sep · 08:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1676
3-1Final setsPoliniewicz won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1590
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 59%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 78.5
76 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 56% → final 91%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 34%72 points · 4 games