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30 Sep · 08:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LJLukasz Jarocki
🇵🇱Lukasz Jarocki
ELO 1696
1-3Final setsKuzmicz won
JKJakub Kuzmicz
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1796
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kuzmicz at 60%. The actual result was Jakub Kuzmicz 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kuzmicz favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 74.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Kuzmicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Kuzmicz −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Jarocki is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kuzmicz.

▲ Lukasz Jarockipre 36% → final 2%
Jakub Kuzmicz ▼
Biggest swing 38 pts72 points · 4 games