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DeuceLab
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30 Sep · 08:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PAPawel Adamus
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1565
1-3Final setsLebek won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1575
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamus at 51%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Adamus favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Adamus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Adamus −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Adamus is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Pawel Adamuspre 47% → final 17%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsLebek recovered from 39%72 points · 5 games