30 Sept · 21:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1667
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Staszczyk
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1590
FormLWWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Staszczyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H4-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)