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30 Sep · 09:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WBWitold Buczynski
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1402
3-1Final setsBuczynski won
MSMateusz Sikon
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1516
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sikon at 63%. The actual result was Witold Buczynski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Sikon favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 74.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Sikon −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Sikon −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Witold Buczynski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Sikon.

▲ Witold Buczynskipre 39% → final 65%
Mateusz Sikon ▼
Biggest swing 40 ptsBuczynski recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games