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30 Sep · 10:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1629
3-2Final setsOlbrycht won
KKKrystian Kolodziej
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1707
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolodziej at 61%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krystian Kolodziej favoured — closing 1.22
Upset
Total 70.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krystian Kolodziej −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krystian Kolodziej −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Krystian Kolodziej.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 35% → final 94%
Krystian Kolodziej ▼
Biggest swing 93 ptsOlbrycht recovered from 4%72 points · 5 games