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30 Sep · 11:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1581
3-0Final setsCzerwinski won
JZJakub Zochniak
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1567
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zochniak at 51%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Czerwinski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Zochniak.

▲ Bartosz Czerwinskipre 53% → final 95%
Jakub Zochniak ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsCzerwinski recovered from 43%65 points · 3 games