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30 Sep · 10:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1622
2-3Final setsMinda won
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1489
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 65%. The actual result was Michal Minda 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 74.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maciej Kolek −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Michal Minda.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 63% → final 61%
Michal Minda ▼
Biggest swing 37 pts72 points · 5 games