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30 Sep · 11:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1466
1-3Final setsBuczynski won
WBWitold Buczynski
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1402
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gajda at 57%. The actual result was Witold Buczynski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Gajda favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Gajda −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Gajda −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Witold Buczynski.

▲ Rafal Gajdapre 61% → final 26%
Witold Buczynski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsBuczynski recovered from 34%72 points · 4 games