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30 Sep · 11:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1325
1-3Final setsMinda won
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1489
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Minda at 66%. The actual result was Michal Minda 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Minda favoured — closing 1.25
Favourite won
Total 72.5
74 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Minda −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Minda −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Michal Minda.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 36% → final 44%
Michal Minda ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsMinda recovered from 20%72 points · 4 games