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30 Sep · 11:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1629
3-1Final setsOlbrycht won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1650
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rutkowski at 53%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Rutkowski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 74.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Rutkowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 50% → final 99%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsOlbrycht recovered from 34%72 points · 4 games