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30 Sep · 12:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KKKrystian Kolodziej
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1722
3-0Final setsKolodziej won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1643
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolodziej at 68%. The actual result was Krystian Kolodziej 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krystian Kolodziej favoured — closing 1.22
Favourite won
Total 70.5
45 points played
Under
Set handicap
Krystian Kolodziej −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Krystian Kolodziej −9.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krystian Kolodziej is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Krystian Kolodziejpre 73% → final 100%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 31 pts44 points · 3 games