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30 Sep · 12:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1325
0-3Final setsCzerwinski won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1581
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Czerwinski at 75%. The actual result was Bartosz Czerwinski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartosz Czerwinski favoured — closing 1.16
Favourite won
Total 70.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartosz Czerwinski −9.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 26% → final 1%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 32 pts55 points · 3 games