30 Sept · 15:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MO
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1629
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1676
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Poliniewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 48% · 2.10· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)