30 Sept · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1567
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zochniak
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1489
FormWWWLW
59%
41%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (35)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H60-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (60-50)