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30 Sep · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1394
3-1Final setsMadej won
WBWitold Buczynski
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1399
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Buczynski at 52%. The actual result was Boguslaw Madej 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Witold Buczynski favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Set handicap
Witold Buczynski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Witold Buczynski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Witold Buczynski.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 44% → final 95%
Witold Buczynski ▼
Biggest swing 85 ptsMadej recovered from 14%72 points · 4 games