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30 Sep · 13:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KKKrystian Kolodziej
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1722
3-2Final setsKolodziej won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1660
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolodziej at 55%. The actual result was Krystian Kolodziej 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krystian Kolodziej favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 72.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krystian Kolodziej −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krystian Kolodziej −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krystian Kolodziej is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Krystian Kolodziejpre 59% → final 78%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsKolodziej recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games