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30 Sep · 13:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1322
0-3Final setsKolek won
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1619
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 78%. The actual result was Maciej Kolek 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Kolek favoured — closing 1.12
Favourite won
Total 70.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Kolek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maciej Kolek −9.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Kolek.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 18% → final 1%
Maciej Kolek ▼
Biggest swing 21 pts54 points · 3 games