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30 Sep · 14:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1634
2-3Final setsJarocki won
LJLukasz Jarocki
🇵🇱Lukasz Jarocki
ELO 1694
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jarocki at 56%. The actual result was Lukasz Jarocki 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Jarocki favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 74.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lukasz Jarocki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Jarocki −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Olbrycht is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Jarocki.

▲ Michal Olbrychtpre 40% → final 100%
Lukasz Jarocki ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsOlbrycht recovered from 33%66 points · 4 games