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DeuceLab
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30 Sep · 14:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1643
3-2Final setsRutkowski won
ASAdrian Spychala
🇵🇱Adrian Spychala
ELO 1648
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Spychala at 51%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adrian Spychala favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adrian Spychala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adrian Spychala −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Spychala.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 45% → final 98%
Adrian Spychala ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsRutkowski recovered from 29%72 points · 5 games